ARL 2.50% 41.0¢ ardea resources limited

The information contained is relevant to this thread because it...

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    The information contained is relevant to this thread because it deals with the PEER COMPARISONS discussion, the calls for supporting information and the links to such information for research purposes. It also tries to shed light on the reasons why things might be as they are between peers.
    This Study material is not a cross promotion, this Study lays out the official data in comparable form for research purposes by investors, links to data are included.


    For the purposes of supplementary documentation, I have used a number of additional sources that will highlight certain aspects of certain claims. I will also provide explanations in my conclusions.
    While I am doing this comparison, It should be noted that my intention is to show a side by side comparison without emotional bias.
    I have no regard for emotion or point scoring in this body of work, to support this I am supplying all links to support my understanding, my time is precious to me and I do not intend dealing with anything that is not officially documented through the ASX or Independent Research Facilities.
    I place a lower emphasis on company presentations because they rarely contain more than headlines.
    The following side by side comparative table is easily read and compared dealing with STUDY facts.
    You will note that there are 2 parts to the presented TABLE
    The first section surrounded by the black margin is information from the STUDIES.
    The second section not surrounded by the black margin is sourced information from other ASX or Official Resource Documents.
    RED










    AUZ and ARL Feasibility Study Comparison

    Ardea ResourcesAustralian Mines



    Initial Mine Life

    25 YEARS18 YEARS

    Total Resource is much larger, +50 yearsAUZ, back to drilling (increase resources)

    Autoclave Throughput

    2.25 Mtpa2.0 Mtpa



    PREProduction Capital Estimate

    US $918 Million (Sulphate)US $974 Million (Sulphate)

    Costing above for Nickel SulfateCosting above for Nickel Sulfate

    There is a pivot to MHP underwayThere is a pivot to MHP underway

    No DFS STUDY on costs for MHP capexNo BFS STUDY on costs for MHP capex

    Realistic for similar MHP capex (comparable size)Implied MHP capex $US$832 Million

    Payback In Years

    5.1 Years5.2 Years

    Longer payback

    IRR Internal Rate Of Return (Post Tax)

    27%15%

    Higher percentage returnsLower Percentage returns

    Average C1 Operational Costs ( Inclusive of Credits)

    (US $0.34) /LB NICKELUS $0.48 / LB NICKEL

    Nickel / CobaltNickel / Cobalt / Scandium

    Over Recovery due to cutoff gradesThis $ recovery includes Scandium

    Average C1 Operational Costs ( NICKEL Only)

    US $4.63 /LB NICKELUS $5.73 / LB NICKEL

    Nickel OnlyNickel Only

    Higher cutoff grades result in lower cost/ tonSconi/ lower cutoff grade higher cost

    More ore needs processing

    Additional C1 Operational Credits (Not accounted for YET)

    Sufficient Onsite NeutralizerNO Onsite neutralizer

    Autoclave Ore Neutralizer is an onsite resourceAutoclave Ore Neutralizer is a buy in cost

    Scandium exists NOT accounted for YETScandium Fully accounted for in C1

    Rare Earths exist NOT accounted For YETNo Rare Earths

    Nickel Feed Grade

    0.81% Nickel0.67% Nickel

    Higher GradeLower Grade

    Higer C1 operational cost recoveryLower C1 operational cost recovery

    Cobalt Feed Grade

    0.1% Cobalt0.1% Cobalt



    Capability to Increase Plant Tonnage Expansion

    100 year SUPPLY, Larger Resource @2.25mtpa30 Year FINITE CAPACITY of known resource

    Nickel MHPNickel MHP

    Goongarrie is a small part of KNP (known)AUZ is going back to drilling

    YES Resource allows increased production P/ANO total capacity 30 years @ 2Mtpa

    Add extra autoclaves + leach circuit, YESResource capacity @2mtpa / 30 years NO

    Potential supply, 100 yearsIncrease Resources (Announcement) ???

    Capability to use 1 new plant for entire company resource

    YESNO

    Goongarrie and KNP are all one resource WASconi and Flemington are 1900km apart

    One Production Hub2 Individual plant builds required, Extra cost

    Rail Infrastructure (Working)

    YESNO

    A working rail line is onsite in GoongarrieThis has been dismantled, no rails. NO

    Rail Infrastructure for Battery Metals Export)

    YESNO

    Direct Working Rail to Esperance PortNO

    Working Rail to Kwinana Battery HubNO

    Road Infrastructure

    YESYES

    Availability of NICKEL SULFIDE onsite

    YESNO

    Nickel Sulfide to increase grade output to 1%NO

    Nickel Sulfide to compliment OUTPUT gradeNO

    Globally Significant Resource (Recognised)

    YESNO

    Largest Nickel Resource in WA & OZNO

    7th largest in the worldNO

    Resource Comparison (Nickel Tonne)

    5,458,400 Tonnes735,933 Tonnes

    Ardea Nickel Resource is 7.41 times largerAUZ Nickel Resource is 7.41 times Smaller

    Reserve Comparison (Nickel Tonne)

    329,458331,357

    Cutoff Grade @ 0.82%Cutoff Grade @ 0.58%

    Similar Reserve in tonnageSimilar Reserve in tonnage

    Higher Cut Off Grade %LowerCut Off Grade %

    Higer Grade % needs less processing / tonneLower Grade % needs more processing / tonne

    Lower C1 costs per Tonne NickelHigher C1 costs per Tonne Nickel

    GOLD Resources on leases / tenements

    YESNO

    11,800 (OZ) GoldNO

    Big Four Resource 100% ownedNWM was sold

    Mining Infrastructure and Industrial Facility

    WA Kalgoorlie is the mining capital of OZQLD Greenvale is NOT a mining capital

    Surrounding infrastructure is mining intensiveSurrounding infrastructure is farm and military

    Kalgoorlie population 29,032 PeopleGreenvale Population 232 People

    Intensive mining activityVery little mining activity

    Working rail running through the mining leaseNO rail at allto GreenvaleRemoved

    Quality of Management (Subjective Qualities)

    Clean Track RecordASIC Investigation Underway

    Share Consolidation 10/1

    Repeated Capital Raises

    Management Available and testedManagement Contact AvailIblity (None )

    None notedRepeated Administrative corrections

    TrustworthyI have NO Trust in management

    Effective money managers, prudent attitude.Not effective money managers

    Consistent focus on core goals and assetsSelf Interest is Shareholder consensus

    4 x Capital Raisings since 201710 x capital raisings since 2017

    Share Related Matters

    Shares on issue169,737,772Shares on issue462,531,610

    Share Price$1.02 Share Price$0.088

    Market Capitalisation$173,132,527.00Market Capitalization$40,702,787.00

    Capital Raising Events

    08-02-17$1,000,000.00

    05-04-17$2,000,000.00

    15-09-17$5,540,000.0006-11-17$20,000,000.00

    11-09-18$12,000,000.00

    27-02-19$5,000,000.00

    17-07-19$5,800,000.00

    09-10-20$4,800,000.0014-04-20$14,500,000.00

    26-07-20$5,200,000.00

    28-06-21$5,700,000.0028-07-21$6,500,000.00

    22-02-22$21,500,000.0030-05-22$3,700,000.00

    17-06-2022 TBA$3,700,000.00

    Total Raised$37,540,000.00Total Raised$79,400,000.00

    Market Capitalisation$150,217,928.00Market Capitalization$38,852,655.00

    Valuation/ value created $$112,677,928.00Valuation/ Value Created $-$40,547,345.00

    Valuation/ value created %300.15%Valuation/ Value Created %-51.07%

    Date 19/06/2022Date 19/06/2022

    NOTENOTE

    ARL M/C is worth substantially MORE thanAUZ's M/Cap is worth $38,7 Million less than the

    the capital raised, therefore it stands to reasonTotal capital raised since 2017 to date

    that management are more effectiveThat is a very sobering thought

    MY CLOSING THOUGHTS



    RICH DADPOOR DAD

    The Author Robert Kyosaki wrote the decades old investment book called Rich Dad - Poor Dad

    The basis of the story revolved around

    Gratification NOW or

    Gratification LATER

    Highly recommended reading


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4441/4441856-09566ca722e5573a3d1e02b2cf1d7250.jpg

 
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