TON

16.7%

1.0¢ triton minerals ltd

Pending Ann, page-47

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hashtagwinning

168 Posts.

14/05/15

12:43

Post #: 15278516

Originally posted by hashtagwinning ↑

If the pending Ann is a JV project agreement with YXGC,
the discounted cash flow intrinsic value for the off-take agreement is approx
$4.73 US per share

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4

1 Discounted Cash Flow ASX: TON - Assuming YXGC

2 Initial Cash Flow: $100,000,000

3 Years: 1-5 6-10 11-15

4 Growth Rate: 10% 12% 15%

5 Terminal Growth Rate: 1% Discount Rate: 15%

6 Shares Outstanding: 331,300,000 Margin of Safety: 30%

7 Debt Level: $100,000,000

8 Year Flows Growth Value

9 1 110,000,000 10% $95,652,174

10 2 121,000,000 10% $91,493,384

11 3 133,100,000 10% $87,515,411

12 4 146,410,000 10% $83,710,393

13 5 161,051,000 10% $80,070,810

14 6 180,377,120 12% $77,982,007

15 7 202,022,374 12% $75,947,693

16 8 226,265,059 12% $73,966,449

17 9 253,416,866 12% $72,036,890

18 10 283,826,890 12% $70,157,666

19 11 326,400,924 15% $70,157,666

20 12 375,361,063 15% $70,157,666

21 13 431,665,222 15% $70,157,666

22 14 496,415,005 15% $70,157,666

23 15 570,877,256 15% $70,157,666

24

25 Terminal Year $576,586,029

26 PV of Year 1-15 Cash Flows: $1,159,321,209

27 Terminal Value: $506,137,451

28 Total PV of Cash Flows: $1,665,458,660

29 Number of Shares: 331,300,000

30 Intrinsic Value: $4.73

31 Margin of Safety IV: $3.31

32 What Percentage of IV comes from 30%

33 the Terminal Value:

If its a JV and off-take with SQZG the intrinsic value is approx
$5.57 US per share

Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4

1 TON offtake and JV with SQZG

2 Initial Cash Flow: $175,000,000

3 Years: 1-5 6-10

4 Growth Rate: 10% 5%

5 Terminal Growth Rate: 1% Discount Rate: 15%

6 Shares Outstanding: 331,300,000 Margin of Safety: 30%

7 Debt Level: $100,000,000

8 Year Flows Growth Value

9 1 192,500,000 10% $167,391,304

10 2 211,750,000 10% $160,113,422

11 3 232,925,000 10% $153,151,968

12 4 256,217,500 10% $146,493,187

13 5 281,839,250 10% $140,123,918

14 6 295,931,213 5% $127,939,230

15 7 310,727,773 5% $116,814,079

16 8 326,264,162 5% $106,656,333

17 9 342,577,370 5% $97,381,869

18 10 359,706,238 5% $88,913,881

19

20 Terminal Year $363,303,301

21 PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows: $1,304,979,192

22 Terminal Value: $641,450,140

23 Total PV of Cash Flows: $1,946,429,332

24 Number of Shares: 331,300,000

25 Intrinsic Value (IV): $5.57

26 Margin of Safety IV: $3.90

27 What Percentage of IV comes from 33%

28 the Terminal Value:

Expand

As said - if the ann is a JV with YXGC, intrinsic value for the share price is approx $4.73 US.

TON Price at posting: 40.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held

4 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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(20min delay)
Last 1.0¢		Change -0.002(16.7%)		Mkt cap ! $15.68M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
1.0¢	1.0¢	1.0¢	$5.104K	510.3K

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
3	576387	1.0¢

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
1.1¢	1205144	3

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
3	576387	0.010
6	1002111	0.009
3	1422863	0.008
4	795619	0.007
5	1216475	0.006

Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.011	1205144	3
0.012	1244607	8
0.013	700000	3
0.014	1299399	2
0.015	482500	3

Last trade - 16.10pm 16/10/2024 (20 minute delay)

TON (ASX) Chart

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	Column 1	Column 2	Column 3	Column 4
1	Discounted Cash Flow ASX: TON - Assuming YXGC
2	Initial Cash Flow:	$100,000,000
3	Years:	1-5	6-10	11-15
4	Growth Rate:	10%	12%	15%
5	Terminal Growth Rate:	1%	Discount Rate:	15%
6	Shares Outstanding:	331,300,000	Margin of Safety:	30%
7	Debt Level:	$100,000,000
8	Year	Flows	Growth	Value
9	1	110,000,000	10%	$95,652,174
10	2	121,000,000	10%	$91,493,384
11	3	133,100,000	10%	$87,515,411
12	4	146,410,000	10%	$83,710,393
13	5	161,051,000	10%	$80,070,810
14	6	180,377,120	12%	$77,982,007
15	7	202,022,374	12%	$75,947,693
16	8	226,265,059	12%	$73,966,449
17	9	253,416,866	12%	$72,036,890
18	10	283,826,890	12%	$70,157,666
19	11	326,400,924	15%	$70,157,666
20	12	375,361,063	15%	$70,157,666
21	13	431,665,222	15%	$70,157,666
22	14	496,415,005	15%	$70,157,666
23	15	570,877,256	15%	$70,157,666
24
25	Terminal Year	$576,586,029
26	PV of Year 1-15 Cash Flows:	$1,159,321,209
27	Terminal Value:	$506,137,451
28	Total PV of Cash Flows:	$1,665,458,660
29	Number of Shares:	331,300,000
30	Intrinsic Value:	$4.73
31	Margin of Safety IV:	$3.31
32	What Percentage of IV comes from	30%
33	the Terminal Value:

	Column 1	Column 2	Column 3	Column 4
1	TON offtake and JV with SQZG
2	Initial Cash Flow:	$175,000,000
3	Years:	1-5	6-10
4	Growth Rate:	10%	5%
5	Terminal Growth Rate:	1%	Discount Rate:	15%
6	Shares Outstanding:	331,300,000	Margin of Safety:	30%
7	Debt Level:	$100,000,000
8	Year	Flows	Growth	Value
9	1	192,500,000	10%	$167,391,304
10	2	211,750,000	10%	$160,113,422
11	3	232,925,000	10%	$153,151,968
12	4	256,217,500	10%	$146,493,187
13	5	281,839,250	10%	$140,123,918
14	6	295,931,213	5%	$127,939,230
15	7	310,727,773	5%	$116,814,079
16	8	326,264,162	5%	$106,656,333
17	9	342,577,370	5%	$97,381,869
18	10	359,706,238	5%	$88,913,881
19
20	Terminal Year	$363,303,301
21	PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows:	$1,304,979,192
22	Terminal Value:	$641,450,140
23	Total PV of Cash Flows:	$1,946,429,332
24	Number of Shares:	331,300,000
25	Intrinsic Value (IV):	$5.57
26	Margin of Safety IV:	$3.90
27	What Percentage of IV comes from	33%
28	the Terminal Value:

Pending Ann, page-47

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