Just a couple of points. The milestone payments are one-off so shouldn't be included in revenue for valuation purposes as they do not recur in subsequent years. That brings the revenue back to $1.8bn. The current structure for North America has graduated royalties averaging at about 12.5% and I see no reason why they would hit 15% overall as this would presuppose a top rate in ROW of about 25%, which seems unlikely. So lets keep them at 12.5%. That would give $US225 million revenues or about $AU338 million. Knock off 40% for overheads, and this gives an EPS of about $1.60 per share. Using your multiplier of 20 P/E that still brings it out to $32 per share; a realistic and still impressive figure based on Daybue alone. Throw in the blue sky of NNZ2591 and this share has lots more to offer. Although I must say I wonder why a buyer would pay 20 times current earnings per share for an income stream that has 7 years to go in the US and 10 in Europe..
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Just a couple of points. The milestone payments are one-off so...
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Last
$19.97 |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $2.552B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$19.96 | $19.97 | $19.69 | $4.156M | 209.6K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 246 | $19.88 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$19.99 | 512 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 246 | 19.880 |
2 | 741 | 19.810 |
1 | 3227 | 19.800 |
3 | 3155 | 19.770 |
2 | 917 | 19.760 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
20.000 | 741 | 2 |
20.040 | 907 | 1 |
20.070 | 907 | 1 |
20.100 | 2100 | 2 |
20.110 | 907 | 1 |
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