AAU 16.7% 0.4¢ antilles gold limited

PGI Q3, Q4 forecasts, page-12

  1. 1,092 Posts.
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    Warrick, Here is my formula for estimating gold production.

    Production=Plant throughput (t) X Head Grade (g/t) X overall Recovery (%/100) X g to oz conversion (.035274) X 0.9 (error margin factor)

    The table below compares PGI forecasts or actual production figures with the estimates from the formula. They are close; mostly within 1%. Note: Q2f (Q1r) means Q2 forecast from the Q1 report, etc
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8
    0
    forecast or actual

    Q1 actl

    Q2 actl

    Q2f (Q1r) forecast

    Q3f (Q1r)

    Q4f (Q1r)

    Q3f (Q2r)

    Q4f (Q2r)

    1
    GOLD PRODUCTION

    7742

    7900

    10416

    12605

    14309

    10000

    13000

    2
    formula estimate

    7425

    7772

    10307

    12447

    14129

    9880

    13095

    3
    difference %

    -4

    -2

    -1

    -1

    -1

    -1

    1


    So I am happier with PGI forecasts now.
 
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