Well here some good news for starters; the Indians )one of the possible offtakes), the worlds biggest importers of fertilizers, have agreed to an increase in the price of potash (Obviously not the same as DAP/RP) to ensure then get some before the Chinese, and have increased their subsidy for Phosphate imports. If the supply is slightly tenuous, maybe the beginnings of a bidding war??? See below:
March 18 (Bloomberg) -- India, the worlds biggest potash importer, will offer a higher price than China for overseas purchases of the fertilizer to ensure supplies, two government officials said yesterday.
Buyers including Indian Potash Ltd. will offer a maximum $370 a metric ton for the year starting April 1 to sellers such as International Potash Co., 5.7 percent more than the price agreed by China for its 2010 purchases, said the officials, who didnt want to be identified before the information is made public. India paid $460 a ton this fiscal year.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=as2zBoRMRCjw
The government also set the fixed subsidy for diammonium phosphate at 16,268 rupees a ton, based on an import price of $500 a ton in the year starting April 1, the officials said.
_________
OAO Uralkali (URKA RX): Russias second biggest potash maker increased the domestic price of potassium chloride to some customers by 8.7 percent to 4,300 rubles a metric ton for the rest of the year. The new prices is lower than that agreed between the company and Russias antimonopoly service and an anti crisis measure to support agriculture, the company said in an e-mailed statement. Uralkali shares closed unchanged at 122.45 rubles in Moscow.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=azLgh.fPpb4w
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