Piton and Solomon on 2020 Election, page-5

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    Hours of complex Excel spreadsheets & graphs of "data" from 166 Precincts.

    I watched the suggested section of the 11 hour 44 minute & 34 second video.

    15:23 onwards "In real life things tend to vary" ..... "they tend to differ by about 1.8% for a population size around that number"...... "It's a degree 5 polynomial"


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3256/3256772-a15e2faf9883e63fbf4d5daa62d1475b.jpg

    His complex analysis ("we require a much higher degree polynomial") rests on an assumption of Ceteris paribus.

    The 2020 election was unique in circumstances and voter behaviour.

    The authors assumptions require much more rigorous audit and checking before acceptance. For example, a same depth comparative statistical analysis of the 2016 and 2012 data from the same 166 precincts is required.

    As an aside, I found the descriptions of his data files interesting.

    Coomer's Big Bane -> Google -> "Coomer refers to a Wojak character described as a person with severe masturbation addiction similar to that of the Cumbrain. Unlike similar 4chan Wojak characters such as 30-Year-Old Boomer and Zoomer, Coomer's description includes multiple parody elements which could not be applied to a real person due to humorous exaggeration.'

    Humorous exaggeration ? Rigged / not rigged ?

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3256/3256765-a07842f997d5b1e205ca77e17eb1f788.jpg





 
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