The complete set of New 4pm Edison & Mitofsky 2004 General...

The complete set of New 4pm Edison & Mitofsky 2004 General Election exit poll data follows in tabulated form (sorted in descending order of the magnitude of the "red shift"):



EXIT POLLS
ACTUAL RESULTS
Red Shift

State
Kerry
Bush
Kerry
Bush


DE
58.5
41.5
53
46
10

VT
65
35
59
39
10

NH
55.4
44.6
50
49
9.8

SC
46
54
41
58
9

NE
36.8
63.3
32
67
8.5

AL
41
59
37
63
8

AK
40.5
59.5
35
62
8

NY
63
37
58
40
8

NC
48
52
44
56
8

CT
58.5
41.5
54
44
7

MA
66
34
62
37
7

RI
64
36
60
39
7

PA
54.4
45.7
51
49
6.7

MS
43.3
56.8
40
60
6.5

OH
52.1
47.9
49
51
6.2

FL
50
49
47
52
6

MN
54.5
45.5
51
48
6

AZ
47
53
44
55
5

ID
33.5
66.5
30
68
5

UT
30.5
69.5
27
71
5

VA
47
51
45
54
5

IL
57
43
55
45
4

LA
44.5
55.5
42
57
4

WI
52.5
47.5
50
49
4

WY
29
65
29
69
4

NM
51.3
48.7
49
50
3.6

WV
45.3
54.8
43
56
3.5

CO
49.1
50.9
47
52
3.2

GA
43
57
41
58
3

IN
41
59
39
60
3

MO
47.5
52.5
46
54
3

NJ
55
45
53
46
3

WA
55
45.1
53
46
2.9

IA
50.7
49.4
49
50
2.3

AR
46.6
53.4
45
54
2.2

KY
41
59
40
60
2

MI
52.5
47.5
51
48
2

OK
35
65
34
66
2

NV
49.4
50.7
48
51
1.7

ME
54.8
45.3
53
45
1.5

DC
91
9
90
9
1

MD
57
43
56
43
1

MT
39.8
60.3
39
59
-0.5

OR
51.2
48.8
52
48
-1.6

HI
53.3
46.7
54
45
-2.4

CA
54
46
55
44
-3

TN
41.5
58.5
43
57
-3

TX
37
63
38
61
-3

SD
37.8
62.3
39
60
-3.5

KS
35
65
37
62
-5

ND
34
66
36
63
-5



NOTE: red shift = the exit poll margin - final count margin