Not really because not much value is yet being attributed to NC within the PLL share price - Approval is just a heap of future upside.
I'd assume that most of SYA's market cap is due to having 75% of a soon to enter production asset. For simplicity let's assume non-NAL assets of SYA are worth $400m and SYA has a $1.9b market cap. This puts SYA's share of the NAL asset at $1.5b and the NAL project value at $2b. PLL's 25% share of this is $500m.
Ignoring any strategic value that may mean above market price for A11/SYA, PLL's ownership of shares in these companies is worth about A$250m (with a lot of upside potential).
Atlantic has a market cap of $400m and essentially all its value is half of Ewoyaa. PLL will have the other half so this is also worth $400m (again with lots of upside potential).
Tennessee Hydroxide is hard to value. There is already a US$141.7m grant towards its construction. The NPV was US$2.2b (A$3.1b) and that was using $22k/t for hydroxide. I'd suggest a slightly higher value is warranted which would increase the NPV. If you valued the project at 25% of NPV and added on the value of the grant then the value is about A$1,000m.
Lets add these $500 + $250 + $400 + $1,000 = A$2.150b
You might notice that five assets of PLL haven't been listed in this value:
- Upside value from any Hydroxide/Carbonate plant at NAL
- The value of the Spod off-take from NAL
- The value of the proposed NC operation (which is modelled as a $2.8b NPV, EBITDA $592m/yr)
- A first mover advantage as a listed American company in acquiring/investing in desirable future projects
- A market price off-take to half of Ewyoaa product allowing source material for Hydroxide plans at Tennessee
I know you noted A$1.7b value, but with 1.8b shares on issue and a $1.035 share price PLL has a A$1.86b market value that needs to be justified. Either way, the A$2.1b above is still higher and that's before adding any upside from items 1-5 above. Some commentators have valued item #2 above at close to the current market cap of PLL.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- PLL General Discussion
Not really because not much value is yet being attributed to NC...
-
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 1,768 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add PLL (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
14.0¢ |
Change
0.010(7.69%) |
Mkt cap ! $57.46M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
13.5¢ | 14.0¢ | 13.3¢ | $410.4K | 2.996M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 46561 | 13.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
14.0¢ | 137306 | 5 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 46561 | 0.135 |
8 | 1032984 | 0.130 |
4 | 371942 | 0.125 |
17 | 590985 | 0.120 |
4 | 475000 | 0.115 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.140 | 136306 | 4 |
0.145 | 314812 | 7 |
0.150 | 150592 | 8 |
0.155 | 178888 | 2 |
0.160 | 21343 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 27/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
PLL (ASX) Chart |