Happy holidays everyone - hope you all are excited for 2023 as I am - here's why:
Charts:
- Post Covid bottom in (Mar20), we had a nice little ~200% run, followed by a ~30% retrace, over a 2 month period, at the same place on the Stoch RSI
- From the previous ~$2 bottom (Jul22), we had a nice little ~200% run, followed but ~30% retrace, over a 2 month period, at the same place on the Stoch RSI
- Dejavu?
- Post the ~30% retrace in 2020 there was a bull run of approx +1200% (~$0.30 to ~$3.90), over a 490day period.
- Post the ~30% retrace in 2022 there was a bull run of approx +___% (~$3.90 to $___), over a 490day period.
- Are we in for Devaju x2?
- By the way, we tested the previous $3.90 high and bounced, that's a picture perfect "RS flip" right?
- Its totally unreasonable to think we'll get another +1,200% run, but we can easily get +100% run at very least. You're kidding yourself if you think that's not likely.
- My target is $8.50 from the fib - which lines up nicely with current valuations based off conservative $4,500 USD/t of SC6% equivalent pricing and 580-680tpa volumes (note the recent BMX at ~$8,300usd/t SC6 equivalent).
General
- Like I noted above, the $8.50 price target is where my bootleg valuations come in at with (i) MC/EBITDA ratio of 6:1, (ii) SC6% equivalent at $4,500usd/t, (iii) volumes falling between 580tpa and 680tpa, (iv) POSCO JV priced in as it will be operational in CY23 - someone fact check me on that plz.
- We're getting dividends which should be between 20c-30c per share based on operating cashflow at FY23 end being around the $3B range (pending any major capital investments like potential M&A's)
- Pricing looks like its stabilizing (which isnt a bad thing) at the $8,000usd/t on the higher side, so higher volume contract pricing moving forward should be very nicely above +$5,000usd/t.
- CALIX demonstration plant will likely have a long line of customers for its outputs - this is such a dark horse venture for PLS! Cant wait to see where this goes!
- All the other projects/upgrades are moving to schedule!
Happy Holidays Everyone, take care of yourselves and DYOR.
Cheers - Woly
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Last
$3.07 |
Change
-0.190(5.83%) |
Mkt cap ! $9.239B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$3.19 | $3.20 | $3.07 | $96.53M | 30.85M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
41 | 815921 | $3.06 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$3.08 | 309816 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
26 | 195171 | 3.060 |
50 | 157222 | 3.050 |
9 | 32502 | 3.040 |
15 | 74596 | 3.030 |
14 | 32496 | 3.020 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.090 | 400231 | 3 |
3.110 | 17026 | 2 |
3.120 | 19982 | 6 |
3.130 | 28145 | 4 |
3.140 | 28903 | 5 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 28/06/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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