Hmm. Probably improve accuracy in the dailies, and might explain why I tend to exit early on the multi- day runs (which is how I can loose tens of thousands quickly - when I trade out early then trade back in blind at a higher price because it didn't turn when I expected it to, but then f*'n reverses straight after I trade back in) but intra-day will be a very different story. My approach gives about 90% accuracy on the first wave to third wave intraday (haven't actually tracked it, but when I miss it is a big surprise) and usually matches the prediction from the old flag pole method. The number of times I get the top of the third wave exactly right intra-day I can't count, and if it misses the target on the third wave it almost certainly gets it on the 5th (eg today where it hit the 160% target on the 5th wave but not quite the third - which of course also means the pattern was not an EW pattern). Interestingly, when you do it in reverse on a falling intraday wave it picks the bottom incredibly well - at least for the 3 step correction waves.
So it looks like intraday there are a slightly different set of rules applying and we need a modified EW theory - because using wave 2 as the start for the third wave projection would result in the price being set too high, given my method usually gets the price exactly right. I will however experiment and see whether there ends up being a practical difference between the two intraday, where we are talking whole cents and much smaller ranges (compared to daily movements over tens of cents), which thus has a built in rounding error, that may result in the two approaches yielding essentially the same result when rounded to the cent.
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pilbara minerals limited
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Last
$1.37 |
Change
0.015(1.11%) |
Mkt cap ! $4.400B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.36 | $1.37 | $1.34 | $35.59M | 26.19M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 804929 | $1.37 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.38 | 298365 | 7 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
8 | 805703 | 1.370 |
7 | 727562 | 1.365 |
11 | 553343 | 1.360 |
13 | 356255 | 1.355 |
16 | 496631 | 1.350 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.375 | 302365 | 8 |
1.380 | 494705 | 18 |
1.385 | 199822 | 8 |
1.390 | 312941 | 17 |
1.395 | 420065 | 13 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 02/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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