PLS 2.89% $3.03 pilbara minerals limited

Even with the macro environment being a bit shaky with inflation...

  1. 80 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1807
    Even with the macro environment being a bit shaky with inflation and interest rate rise expectations - PLS is in the box seat to be a value play for sheepish investors in the short team with:
    • 500,000tpa run rate going to be achieved very in <6 months (that's $2B annualized profit before tax).
    • SC6% prices stabilizing @ $5,000-$6,000 but still more likely to go up to $7,000 than down.
    • Both weekly and monthly chart Stoch RSI's showing PLS is in oversold territory, but ready to shift momentum.
    • Fib 2.618 and 3.618 levels ($6.00 - $7.50 SP) indicating approx. "fair" value for upcoming 500,00 tpa output in current pricing conditions.

    I say "fair" value with a smirk - the market is fundamentally undervaluing the velocity of PLS growth over the next 18 months with:
    • 1,000,000tpa capacity looming,
    • PLS * POSCO JV - @30% interest on the current demand curve, that's a $500M pa profit as a cherry on top
    • Calix with $20M funding just landing in our laps - that usually happens when you've got a really good thing going.
    • Additional exploration with potential M&A activity over the next 5 years
    • New CEO - who will be strategically picked for their experience in future facing commodities (other than lithium maybe wink.png).

    Thats just my perspective - and it feels conservative IMO

    Cheers - Woly

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4369/4369767-ffc8189afe93b7d2d5fe312bf3e31508.jpg
 
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