Interesting and insightful comments from one well-respected fund, Selector, in their latest quarterly report:
"Our September 2019 Quarterly Newsletter presented
the PolyNovo story to investors. It is available on our
website here for those who wish to reacquaint
themselves with the business. It followed on from our
visit to the group’s head office based in Melbourne and
the U.S. office in San Diego.
Since then, the company has made substantial progress.
Investors could be forgiven to think there is little depth
to the business. We read with interest how one wellknown local fund manager regarded PolyNovo as a
speculative investment. Such views reflect a lack of
understanding of a management team committed to a
global commercial rollout, based on a unique wound
healing polymer platform technology initially developed
by the CSIRO.
The first product, the Novosorb Biodegradable
Temporizing Matrix (BTM), is the group’s flagship
offering. When we first visited two years ago, the
business plans were in place but execution still a risk.
Pleasingly, under the direction of CEO Paul Brennan and
the group’s working board, the achievements to date are
impressive.
Operating within the group’s limited surplus funds, it has
studiously reinvested all cash flows back into building out
the manufacturing base and expanding the global sales
force. Full time staff has just hit 100, 40 more than at the
time of our last visit.
Most significant has been the expansion of the U.S. sales
force. Here the company has chosen to go direct,
segmenting the country into four regions, with a team of
33 now on the ground, compared to the 12 on last count.
This has led to both a steady stream of individual hospital
wins and the signing of contracts with powerful Group
Purchasing Organisations (GPO) covering aggregated
healthcare providers.
The result has been positive, with both top line revenue
and regional growth despite the COVID impacts. In the
U.S., revenues of $10.3m for the first half 2021 have
more than doubled from the $4.8m recorded in the 2019
comparative period.
Elsewhere, a string of new distributors were signed. This
has particularly been the case in Europe with a presence
formed across Germany, Italy and other European Union
countries, alongside direct operations in the U.K. and
Ireland.
Our tour of the new hernia cleanroom and film extrusion
facility is a further illustration of the progress made. The
company’s core market segment, covering burns and
trauma injuries, are to be augmented by new platform
products encompassing hernia and chronic wound
injuries, including diabetic foot ulcers. The total
addressable market for each is estimated at US$850m
and US$400m respectively, with little competitor
alternatives.
Perhaps the most pleasing development is the skill set
within the board and executive ranks. The board has
been strengthened with the appointment of Christine
Emmanuel, currently Executive Manager of Business
Development and Commercial at the CSIRO, as well as
her membership of the Chartered Institute of Patent
Attorneys U.K.
Joined alongside her is Dr Robyn Elliott with
qualifications from Monash University and currently
Senior Director for Strategic Expansion Projects at CSL
Behring. Her involvement was instrumental in attracting
the company’s Chief Operating Officer Dr Anthony Kaye,
with specific manufacturing and operational oversight.
Lastly, in May the company appointed Dr Joshua
Cheetham to the new position of Director of Research
and Development.
This year the group is on track to pass $30m in sales, with
most of the excess income reinvested into operational
expansion. The business enjoys attractive gross profit
margins in excess of 90% and strong clinician
endorsement, evident by underlying annual growth rates
exceeding 50%.
To date, management have chartered a prudent path,
reinvesting into manufacturing capability, strengthening
the executive ranks and pursuing new platform
extension opportunities. The results to date, while still in
its infancy, point to a positive outlook and are far less
speculative than some would suggest."
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