PNV 0.43% $2.29 polynovo limited

PNV - Chart, page-7300

  1. 2,841 Posts.
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    I have a hypothesis that the days-to-cover trends can shed some light on the short behaviour and the change in selling pressure in the short term.
    The average days-to-cover has been running around 6-6.5 days (30 day average volume) through May and June until recently, even though the # short positions has gradually reduced. I think maybe days-to-cover is set to a given target for various large short sellers depending on perceived upside risk. It has drifted up lately and shows more short-selling risk is being taken as a whole. I am guessing the recent easing of the selling pressure on close is related to capping the days-to-cover to manage risk. This will be more apparent in a week's time.
    The lowest price in the 3rd graph better shows the relationship of price to selling pressure.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2334/2334752-f495ad472d530fde6cf4f3fc4398be38.jpg

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2334/2334759-54117ee8ede285f6259b409317fb6de0.jpg

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/2334/2334779-8c600df1785c59a4d1a3318e44386056.jpg

    The higher risk is setting the short positions up for a squeeze if the market gets a very positive result / forward guidance. I think that is quite likely and the upside risk is therefore high.

    All IMHO and please DYOR
 
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Last
$2.29
Change
-0.010(0.43%)
Mkt cap ! $1.580B
Open High Low Value Volume
$2.33 $2.34 $2.24 $2.151M 944.0K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
3 9090 $2.27
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$2.29 15253 5
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Last trade - 16.10pm 15/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
PNV (ASX) Chart
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