Portfolio, page-121

  1. 874 Posts.
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    @madamswer

    Still a holder of M7T?

    Probably had their best year of business performance and worst year of share price performance.

    Hypothetical Upside Blueprint for 10 years:
    12% Revenue CAGR
    20% Profit Margin
    50 PE
    =
    20% CAGR investment return over 10 years.

    I think those inputs look pretty achievable from the outside.

    The valuation has held me back over the past few years, example:
    At current 5x Sales = Chasing a future 20% return based on those inputs is probably worth it for a hit scenario.
    At previous 10x Sales = Chasing a 12% return based on those inputs is probably not much of a premium to an index fund.

    My main sceptical thought is low founder and management ownership at around 5% compared to say PME at 40%, the thought is always never be more bullish than management or you're probably on the wrong side.
    Last edited by Mr-Chow: 03/08/22
 
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