This is just a simple mathematical calculation. Please challenge...

  1. 9,706 Posts.
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    This is just a simple mathematical calculation.

    Please challenge me if my belief is just wishful thinking.  It should be NPAT Gain this 31 March 2018.
    Reasons:  Increase current and future subscribers.


    At the end of the day, It is the NPAT that we look at out.  No matter how high is the subscription revenue, if the costs is not control and manage, then the result is NPAT (loss).

    https://www.xero.com/content/dam/xero/pdf/Xero Investor Briefing FY17.pdf

    https://www.xero.com/content/dam/xero/pdf/About Us/xero-investor-briefing-h1fy-2018.pdf

    31 March 2017   (69.057)

    30 Sept 2017    (21.083)

    An improvement of  47.974 . Assuming they will have a further increase of 50m in  subscriptions revenue with lower costs and lower churn or costs remain constant.

    Possible minimum NPAT ( (21.083) + 50 )  =   28.9  for 31 March 2018.

    This could be higher if they substantially increase the subscribers in the USA, UK, South East Asia and South Africa. However, They should not be complacent about Australia and New Zealand.

    I challenge the current, former and potential investors.  If we accept sp lower 20s and early 30s share price at a loss, Why can't we accept higher sp now with a possibility of NPAT (Positive) on 31 March 2018.

    The high potential is there in the next 3-5 years.

    DYOR
 
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