the possible outcomes are highly dependent on why the SP climbed...

the possible outcomes are highly dependent on why the SP climbed to 2c prior to 11/04

1. If it was on the anticipation of the deal which did not work out : outcome drifting down to even lower price

2. If it was insiders buying and selling on the news knowing the conditional nature of the deal: same as point 1

3.Anticipation of some deal and number of negotiations in place with the announced deal a real surprise : potential slow recovery to 1c +

4. other possibility, do not know what do not know

It is a roulette game after all, win possible but not very likely