If anyone is interested in possible valuations of Metabolic they are welcome to peruse a spreadsheet that I have produced to estimate what their Fat Pill could be worth. email [email protected]
Basically my assumptions, and possible share prices are as follows:
Produce Fat Reducing Pill Project
ASSUMPTIONS (all $000's)
1 Production Plant cost 50,000
2 Salvage sale price of plant
after 7 years = 20% of initial 10,000
3 Sales $300million in first year rising 15% each year for 5 years
4 Variable Costs 55% of sales
POSSIBLE SHARE PRICE
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Method 1: Cum. Disc Cash Flow div by no of shares
$0.50 $1.28 $2.10 $2.96 $3.86 $4.69 $5.46
Method 2: Disc cash flow div no of shares times 5
$3.71 $3.91 $4.10 $4.31 $4.51 $4.11 $3.85
Method 3: net income div by no of shares times 8 (P/E8)
$3.26 $3.88 $4.56 $5.32 $6.18 $6.21 $6.23
TDF
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- possible valuation by 2005
MPB
mackay permanent building society limited