posting of chart.madmacs, page-8

I agree, timing is everything.

If you wish to use a simple indicator that comsec offers you may wish to use th 13/31 day exponential moving average.

At least it is one indicator you may wish to apply.
To me the moving averages have crossed over recently in the wrong direction and it is an exit or a non buy at present.
Me too would rather a capital gain under the 12 month time frame rather than a descending stock price.

A capital gain is a good thing before 12 months not a bad thing, because that money you will use to invest again.