I value Poseidon (on a 2P basis) at $1.3-2.4 per Tcf for KAR's 40% share. So 5.5Tcf = $7 (for Poseidon alone) while 7Tcf gives over $9. And that is on two very conservative assumptions -
1) Tcf values based on only 50% of CoP CSM ORG purchases in a frothier gas market. On an equivalent basis, $2.4 per Tcf could be used giving $13 and $16 respectively.
2) Allows for significant dilution to raise brazil drilling money - out to 200m shares.
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