CDA 0.63% $12.70 codan limited

Potentially Significantly Undervalued, page-3

  1. 277 Posts.
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    I am new here so forgive me if I get something wrong.

    Management are confident that they will exceed 1HFY21 profit numbers. But wording from management suggests it may not be massive growth. Over the past 2 financial years profit has increased an average of 28% year on year. lets halve this to be conservative (14% profit growth).

    SOI= 180.88m
    Predicted net profit (using 14% growth) = 103m

    I am unsure of what PE ratio is common for CDA so I will use 20.

    20 = x / 0.569
    x = 11.38

    Share price fair value = $11.38

    That's an 11% increase on current share price by the end of the financial year when reports are released. New investors may look elsewhere for larger returns. Obviously this is 100% guesswork and my growth margin is likely to low, but I like to look at worst case scenarios when making investment decisions.

    Would love to hear others thoughts.
 
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