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JCoure

41,668 Posts.

1104

04/08/24

15:33

Post #: 75063258
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Originally posted by pintohoo: ↑

''It is a good point you make. Harris is so bad, that when it goes south as with Kamala it inevitably does, someone might come up behind her like Shapiro and steal.

Trump is a bit unfocused and given what happened in Pennsylvania anything could happen. JD Vance would be in poll position.''

you can rant on with your political biases ------

the point is purely in possibility and probability and the numbers - the odds

there are any number of reasons for Trump or Harris not being the runner in the election --------- it takes little imagination to understand in life that - 'shit happens'

the question becomes 'what if' 'shit happens' to one of them?

enter the chances and odds of their replacement.

Personally I think that when one is seeing one who would be a very very clear probable replacement for Harris - running at 500:1 - that's a cheap long shot bet.

for the trump side - it's far more difficult to pick a runner as replacement - but with Vance as VP - well, he's got to be up there because even though he got some resistance in the party - he IS the running mate - and at over 300:1
running besides the contender who is an old man -------- that bet isn't as wild as I've seen in plenty of horse races

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So Vance or Shapiro, you reckon?
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