"April 2017, the Company signed a prepayment agreement with a 100% owned subsidiary of Burwill Holdings Ltd (Burwill), a co
mpany listed on the main Board of **promotion blocked** of Hong Kong Limited (stock code 0024). No interest is payable in respect of the prepayment and it is unsecured. Tawana shall repay the outstanding prepayment through 15% of the value of each shipment of lithium concentrate until such time as Burwill has been reimbursed in full for the aggregate amount of the prepayment."
Mar qtr
Prepay (TAW) = $12.5m
Sales (group) = 0dmt
Jun qtr
Prepay (TAW) = $11.7m (-$800k)
Sales (group) = 8859dmt
Revenue (group) = $0.8m x 2/0.15 = $10.66m
Revenue (TAW inc. pp) = $5.34m
Revenue (TAW ex. pp) = $4.59m
Revenue (TAW ex. royalty) = $4.31m
Revenue (TAW qtr report) = $4.31m
Li2O sale price = $1204/dmt
Sep qtr
Prepay (TAW) = $10.2m (-$1.5m)
Sales (group) = 18670dmt
Revenue (group) = $1.5m x 2/0.15 = $20m
Revenue (TAW inc. pp) = $10m
Revenue (TAW ex. pp) = $8.5m
Revenue (TAW ex. royalty) = $8.08m
Revenue (TAW qtr report) = $9.37m (+$1.29m)
Li2O sale price = $1071/dmt
Tantalum sales (group) = 41000lb = 18.6dmt
Revenue (TAW) = $1.29m
Revenue (group) = $2.58m
Revenue (group inc. royalty) = $2.71m
Ta2O5 sale price = $66/lb
Dec qtr
7th-Oct 10336dmt Li2O
18-Nov 12100dmt Li2O
Base case revenue (group) = 22436 x 1100 = $24.68m
Prepay reduction (TAW) =$1.85m
Prepay (TAW) = $8.35m
Revenue (TAW ex. royalty) = $9.96m
Tantalum sales (group) = 23dmt
Base case revenue (group inc. royalty) = 23 x 2200 x 80 (estimate) = $4.05m
Revenue (TAW ex. royalty) = $1.92m
Tantalum sales (group) = 400wmt
No calculation performed...
Therefore, current TAW revenue to date in Dec qtr likely exceeds $12m. Assuming another Dec shipment (~12000dmt) and further Ta sales (~23dmt), we should see Dec qtr position of:
Revenue (TAW) = $19.13m
Prepayment (TAW) = $7.36m (-$2.84m)
TAW had $11.4m cash on Oct-01, plus $20m loan ($10m for fines, $5m to repay debt, $5m working), plus another $20m loan for merged group, plus AMAL balance sheet.
Hopefully all my calcs make sense...please correct if there are any errors.
My conclusion is things will improve progressively:
- Strip ratio reduction
- Higher grade ore is fed to plant
- Highet recovery
- Higher utilisation
- Fines recovery
- Tantalum offtake agreement
- Prepayment fully repaid (mid 2019)
- Removal of merger activities and fees (though ~$10m WA stamp duty payable in 2019)
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