NRZ 18.2% 0.9¢ neurizer ltd

PRice being held down, page-101

  1. 671 Posts.
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    Not sure Gennaro, but there could be a few reasons including but not limited to the following:

    • A 13.5 cent support level has been strong for a while, sellers exhausted, buyers stepping up
    • 1,153 PJ (1.1 Tcf) 2P reserve
    • The current PRMS 2P gas reserve only accounts for 31% of the available JORC compliant coal resource
    • PCD was operated in accordance with LCK’s environmental obligations
    • Low cost gas feedstock at lower than AUD$1.00/GJ.
    • Approximately 1.8Mt2 of Australia’s urea demand is imported each year. The remainder is produced at Incitec Pivot’s Gibson Island plant in Brisbane
    • The only urea producer in Austalia, Incitec Pivot get their feedstock for about $10 GJ
    • Average nominal production cost of $109/tonne places LCEP in the lowest cost quartile of the global urea cost curve
    • Pre-tax leveraged Net Present Value (NPV) A$3.4 billion, Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 30%
    • LCK will have price stability over the life of the project.
    • LCK will have gas supply stability over the life of the project.
    • Commercial life of over 30 years
    • Annual urea plant capacity of 1.0 million tonnes per annum, with medium term scope to increase to 2.0 million tonnes per annum.
    • The Company is in discussions with several potential offtake partners. LCK aims to have commercial partnerships and offtake covering 100% of production capacity
    • Foreign exchange fluctuations impact the profits of domestic suppliers of fertilizer (Australia relies on imports) (IPLredface.png)
    • Import costs account for an additional US$15-30/t
    • Fully integrated urea production eliminates supply risk
    • Global fertiliser consumption forecast to increase by 1.6%pa, to 188Mt in 2022
    • 95% of Australia’s urea is imported from Asia and the Middle East
    • Global nitrogen fertiliser demand 180Mt per annum. Growth rate has been 1.7% over past 10 years
    • LCK can produce 200,000,000 kg of Hydrogen per annum
    • LCK could be the lowest cost producer of hydrogen in Australia at less than $1 per kg
    • They raised in excess of a billion dollars for a transaction that didn't go ahead
    • They were offered 8 billion for a deal to buy all of their gas
    • Petroleum Production Licence issued (final license)
    • Leigh Creek Energy has qualified as a signatory to the United Nations Global Compact, the world’s largest corporate sustainability initiative.
    • LCK has entered into a JVA under which it will provide In-Situ Gasification project management and consultancy services to CNE
    • EPCM Contracts Awarded for Stage 1
    • 18 million of institutional finance for Stage 1
    • Commercial negotiations continuing

    Just some food for thought, what do you think could be happening?

 
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