CVN 6.45% 16.5¢ carnarvon energy limited

price calculation, page-2

  1. 349 Posts.
    I did earlier, but lost in euphoria ... and no wonder.

    with:
    POO= US$70/bbl
    OPEX= US$6/bbl
    X-Rate= 0.88
    Shares= 705mil (i.e. fully diluted)
    Royalties & Tax= 50%
    PE of 20

    Lower Bound:
    Current flow 2400 bopd net cvn
    equates to ~80c

    Upper Bound:
    Current flow 4000 bopd net cvn
    equates to ~130c

    As stated earlier it's reserves that count, so will have to wait, but for now 80-90c look likely, $1 is possible, $1.30 is unlikely.

    Hows that?

    Cheers
    neo
 
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