probability, page-8

  1. 3,694 Posts.
    This is the conclusion that most people arrive at but you've overlooked one variable. The person removing the empty boxes is aware which ones are empty. The equation is no longer purely random. I go back to my analogy of 100 boxes. Your first choice is 1 in a 100. By removing 98 known EMPTY boxes the odds on the last box holding the $100 is 99 chances in 100.
 
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