I've used info from the quarterly and from the messages from Paulharris to work out project profit and cash.
These are in the google spreadsheet linked below - if anyone has any information to improve please let me know and I will update.
Assumptions:
1. 5% increase in revenue from sales per quarter (e.g. higher oil price etc)
2. Kept admin, production and exploration costs the same
3. Assumed they continue to pay approx $1.1M of loan capital per quarter
4. They pay 10M to Santos next quarter
My Conclusions:
1. Clash flow seems manageable - only going slightly negative in Q4'16, but this could easily be managed by holding back some of the loan capital repayments
2.The company is making a profit and simply based on this profit and a P/E=10 the share price should be around 10c in 2016 and around 30c in 2017, this ignores future potential when NEGI is complete and future exploration.
3. Overall conclusion - the SP is bottoming out as this is the year the company transitions to self-sufficient profit making company with significant potential future growth
Here's google spreadsheet - comments/corrections welcome:
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central petroleum limited
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5.5¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $40.98M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
5.7¢ | 5.7¢ | 5.4¢ | $159.7K | 2.896M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 38000 | 5.4¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.5¢ | 145969 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 38000 | 0.054 |
2 | 400000 | 0.053 |
4 | 480000 | 0.052 |
3 | 840000 | 0.051 |
4 | 860000 | 0.050 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.055 | 145969 | 2 |
0.058 | 206030 | 2 |
0.059 | 376120 | 3 |
0.060 | 140000 | 1 |
0.066 | 100000 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 28/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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