IMM 1.28% 39.5¢ immutep limited

$1 billion in profit would be pretty unrealistic.Even $1 billion...

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    $1 billion in profit would be pretty unrealistic.

    Even $1 billion in sales revenue is beyond my most optimistic expectations at this stage.

    I know Dendreon is not a perfect comparison but it's useful as a rough guide.

    They just announced their quarterly sales for Provenge at $85.5m (up on analyst expectations).

    Annualised, that's US$342m
    DNDN is currently running a COS at around 70%, so annual earnings on that basis is around US$103m.

    Their market cap at the moment is US$846, putting them on a P/E ratio of 8.2 (which is low for a biotech).

    PRR could realistically achieve annual sales revenue for Cvac (Ovarian cancer only) of around $250 - 300m.
    Their estimate COS is in the range of 25-30%
    Annualised earnings extrapolate to around $200m

    Pick a P/E ratio and multiply those earnings for estimated market cap.

    Caveat: All the above obviously depends on successful trial results and commercial approvals from the FDA, EU etc.

 
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