SHC sunshine heart, inc.

putting a figure on future revenue

  1. 279 Posts.
    There doesn't seem to much general awareness and discussion of potential future revenues. This information, and subsequently is what will set the value of the company...so I am starting the discussion. Whats your predictions of the market size, sales numbers, revenues and profits?

    Revenue earning phase to begin soon.
    1. ?Europe - Post Market Surveillance Study - starting Q4 2012 - will there be any payment for the devices implanted? Aug 2012 Investor presentation says study is to assist with achieving reimbursement.
    2. ?USA - Pivotal trial - Aug 2012 Investor presentation - says hoping for reimbursement as per feasibility trial ($57k per device - ?=device cost, ??= total rebate for implantation and for device itself).

    Europe
    If revenue (why not? someone should be paying) then ?$57k (as per USA),
    Revenue total for the Study?
    50 patients x $57k = $2.85m (to mid 2013)

    USA Pivotal trial revenue
    350 patients randomised (assume ?50:50)= 175 devices implanted.
    175 x $57k = $10.3m

    Total = $13.1m

    Any thoughts/comments on the above?
    Other questions:
    What about the actual revenue to the company? I have heard previously that $16k/device was suggested (?source).
    What about the size of the market? Current Class III worldwide prevalence? New cases per year?
    What % of Class III market is reasonable to expect? Did company propose they were after 30%?

    DYOR
 
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