CDG 0.00% 7.0¢ cleveland mining company limited

putting a value on cdg..

  1. 2,154 Posts.
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    Whilst nothing surprises me in the market, I find it a little strange that there hasn't been more northerly movement in the sp here so I was going to attempt a valuation for Cleveland based on a forward P/E ratio.
    Referring to the other thread where many agree with my back of envelope calcs of minimum $19M clear profit in 2014/15 just from gold production (ie,ignoring the IO prospect) - who'd like to venture a valuation that 'really' should be attached to CDG ?
    Over on the NST thread they're going on PE's of 8-12 for a projected $50M profit after applying 30% tax.
    I don't know what tax rate will apply here but if we took it at the same rate, there'd be a $5.7m liability, leaving A$13.3m clear.
    Then apply the low-end 8-times p/e multiplier, we'd have a valuation of (8 x 13.3) = A$106.4M
    Currently sitting on a m/c of $31m has it looking well undervalued by around 3.5-times ?
    The obvious hurdle here to me is they haven't been producing very long so they have yet to prove they CAN pour over 7,000oz/qtr (from Q1 2014) - however, they've hardly put a foot wrong yet.

    Any thoughts ?
 
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