Thx for the thoughts. There are some DCF factors in there, which are fine, but the rest of the things you mention are "risks", i.e .chances of success....which is what I thought 'risks' meant, so get rid of those and come back to DCF and plug in numbers, then even if 1 of 4 is successful you get a DCF above $1.20.....so, what does their version of unrisked mean? In this context it almost certainly has to factor in risk around COS, meaning in reality it most likely is still a "risked" valuation. Perhaps they're just being conservative on the upside valuations because printing anything else could look 'silly'..!?
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