In post 69050484 you suggested (graph) that Lynas break-even NDPrO price was about US$56.
We now see that at a price of US$50 for the Q Lynas achieved a very positive cashflow with a margin of about $80m on receipts of $189m.
It's clear your estimate was seriously wrong and the break even point is actually around $30 per kg.
We all know cash flow and profit are distinct but even so, your analysis is incorrect to the Lynas downside.
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lynas rare earths limited
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$8.93

In post 69050484 you suggested (graph) that Lynas break-even...
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Last
$8.93 |
Change
-0.275(2.99%) |
Mkt cap ! $8.372B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$9.44 | $9.44 | $8.89 | $36.37M | 4.014M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 1073 | $8.92 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$8.93 | 4860 | 14 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
21 | 10007 | 8.920 |
19 | 10290 | 8.910 |
20 | 19719 | 8.900 |
12 | 15739 | 8.890 |
11 | 22225 | 8.880 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
8.930 | 4845 | 17 |
8.940 | 19692 | 20 |
8.950 | 10474 | 18 |
8.960 | 14458 | 14 |
8.970 | 14070 | 14 |
Last trade - 15.06pm 27/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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PARADIGM BIOPHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED..
Paul Rennie, MD & Founder
Paul Rennie
MD & Founder
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