Hi Oilfield , used Moggie, et al.....
From MSMN resource update.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 0 18-Dec-14 10:34 RNS Corporate and NZ Resource Update Company Announcement - General
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9 0 Cross Roads-1 1 OIIP Estimate (barrels) Contingent Oil Resource Estimate (barrels) 2 P90 P50 Mean P10 P90 P50 Mean P10 3 Lower 8Mile 5,672 41,071 135,822 297,376 850 5,808 15,459 39,713 4 Cobden 3,068 15,362 33,910 76,914 623 2,975 5,770 14,197 5 Total 8,740 56,433 169,732 374,290 1,473 8,783 21,230 53,910
What you are testing via the Cobden formation on crossroads is a P50 mean of 2,975 boe recoverable.
P50 is industry standard....... it is not the OIIP as that is not known and is nothing more than a best hope.
The other formation I believe was found not to be commercial bearing...(please correct me if I am wrong)
So at $ 53 per barrel ( based on WTI) not Brent .... you have $ 157,675 of potential income ( 53 x 2,975) from the well. Minus running costs and operational costs... which would be at least $ 10 k per month...
Please advise us the well drill cost here and how in your view this will be commercial....I really cannot see by the Data how it can be anywhere near commercial... I have seen mooted by MSMSN holders on other BB`s that you need 12bbl a day for commercial , really this is $ 600 a day of income minus your capex and opex...What school of Oil and gas economics are all these assumptions based on... ?
I have never seen a well drill cost less than $ 500k, even a straight forward land based low depth vertical one such as this, plus you have 60 days of testing on top of it..... plus the nodding donkey plus power and generation... obviously your director is there as chief Ramp Meister general with his iphone taking videos of oil sheens and a reciprocating flow head, to fervour the MEO take over, all on his annual salary and this wont be adding to the well cost.. granted...
Please advise MEO holders how based on these figures, this is going to propel MSMN to glory ..... I have run the sums numerous times and see nothing here that could even be remotely resemble commercial.... ?
Is this what you want MEO`s cash is for ?
Many thanks...
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