Hello, dear. Yes, if it was a sure thing, they would not have farmed it out, that's risk management 101. Therefore, the directors give the impression they are attributing at most a 1 in 4 chance of success. Yet you, my dear, appear to be claiming the project is the next best thing since sliced bread. I am simply pointing out your & other's ramping here appears to have no merit in relation to the amount of faith of the directors.
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