Ray Dalio suggests 35-40 percent chance of new civil war in USA?

This is per a news outlet quoting/paraphrasing whatever the billionaire.

Apparently this would not be one necessarily where people grab guns and start shooting but one where people move to states (within USA presumably) more in line with want they want ignoring the federal authorities of the opposite political persuasion. Now according to the last sentence would this constitute a civil war?? If people can choose which state and rules they want to live by ignoring others is that not democracy if not overall federal unity?? If so, what is the problem and how is the civil war except in the minds of the tyrants and control freaks?? t would be a problem for the Military Industrial Complex unless they are happy to fund civil war conflicts or desire to out of self-interest

The last President to be shot in USA was Reagan in 1981 when USA seemed to be in a far better place which seems interesting. Maybe overall Federal power is not a good thing Ray?

Apparently one in four Americans would support their state seceding from the USA. Apparently Joe Oltmann on the media outlet suggested words to the effect a chance greater than 50 percent would be in effect where people effectively move where they want to be. Joe refers to the US leadership as a 'class bully' apparently where no one has stood up against it.