YML unknown

Got so much going for it -Very tight register - and few shares...

  1. 23,992 Posts.
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    Got so much going for it -
    Very tight register - and few shares for sale.
    That is going to ensureits price stability tomorrow.
    If any academically challenged individuals dare to sell after that ann, their stock will be soaked up pretty quickly.
    As eb said - the million plus has been sitting there at 35c for weeks. If the seller wakes up, he might get more - otherwise on the volumes we saw today - they should go pretty easily, and then there may be a struggle on to pick stock up.

    Don't come crying if you aren't on now or in the next few days and it gets up towards the dollar that we think it's worth.

    I'll repost the 'value schedule' that shows you projects and possible value of each.
    Remember - this is in elephant country guys and gals.

    Originally Posted by YOUNG_TRADER
    Guys, some research today has led to a few ammendments/additions
    2 Main changes to be aware of Marilliana is only Avg 15m thick not 60m as drill assays that are due early 07 will show and scoping study on pre-feasibility numbers for Carr Boyd are due out 'Early 07' too.

    YML
    Yilgarn Mining

    Shares: 60m + 20m 25c 30/6/07 opies

    @20c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $10m
    @30c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $24m
    @40c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $32m
    @50c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $40m
    @$1 Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $80m
    @$1.25 Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $100m
    @$1.50 Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $120m

    Has $4.5m in the Bank so no need for funds anytime soon


    Projects

    1. Rose Dam
    Used this Gold project to generate $6.6m in cash, good cash cow and shows management knows how to get a project going


    2. Irwin Hills
    JV 40% YML 60% MRE, JORC 20Mt@ 1%Ni (Nickel) + 0.12%Co (Colbat)

    High levels of Chloride so having trouble getting MRE to agrre to Toll Treatment at its Murrin-Murrin Plant, although its Laterite Nickel its not that bad as MRE is the Laterite King!

    MRE stated in their last Qtrly that "Preliminary mining studies are underway to determine the viability of direct trucking of ore to Murrin Murrin plant"

    3. Carr-Boyd
    YML earning 51% from TIR (Now part of CSM Cons-Min) can earn up to 90%

    JORC 600Kt's@ 1.4%Ni + 0.5%Cu all within 100m of the surface so open pittable!

    Using an EV of $5 lb Nickel and $2 lb Cu this first pass JORC gives the deposit an In Ground Value of over $150m

    A full scoping study type feasibilty report is due "Early 07"


    4. Marillana - This project is the SPEC KILLER! / "The Biggie" - next weeks assay results!

    Its an Iron Ore tennement 2kms west of the Brockman Deposit (225Mt@ 60% Fe)

    Its old Hamersley Ground who outline a STRIKE OF 10KM's! Grading an avg 60% Fe! Width is probably 350m Avg and thickness of the Iron Ore is 15m Avg

    Our Estimates so far are 240M Tonnes of Ore Grading 60% Fe
    If we attribute 5% we get 12Mt@60% Fe
    Use an In-Ground Value of $5t = $60m NPV
    $10t= $120m NPV
    $15t= $180m NPV

    But Hamersley walked away from it 20years ago becasue the deposit is not at surface, its covered by 50m of top soil which is bad, but given current Iron Ore prices (ADD ANOTHER 10%) and the Sheer location of the deposit!Have a look at the presentations its surrounded by BHP, RIO, FMG and Hanc ock Mining!

    Whats also very important is that BHP's Railway runs throught the deposit, so YML could feasibly only have to dig it up and truck it 2-3kms to the BHP Rail Line which runs straight to the Ports and given FMG's recent win in the Courts to use BHP's line I can't see why YML can't as well


    East Sunrise (100% interest), 35 kms south of Laverton
    Historical exploration has returned promising drill intersections including 14m at 10.2 gpt gold. Further drilling is planned for early 2007. Just food for thought.

    Kanowna South (Earning 70%), W.A.
    Drilling to commence shortly for Gold,

    Plumridge (Earning 60%), W.A.
    JV with Western Areas for Mineral Sands, looking to do some drilling in 2007


    Byro (Farmed out 70% Free carried 30%), W.A.
    Mithrill farmed in and should do some drilling by 2nd Qtr 07, following up on oxide intersections of Nickel & Copper,


    Ravensthorpe (100%), W.A.
    Grounds near BHP's Ravensthorpe project, apparantly prospective for Zinc/Lead,


    Attributable Value

    Irwin Hills @$2.50lb Ni =$50m, YML 40%= $20m
    Remember Laterite (low grade) No Cap-Ex as can be treated at JV partner MRE's Murrin Murrin Plant,


    Carr Boyd @ $5lb Ni + $2lb Cu = $150m, YML's up to 90%= $135m
    JV with Cos Min, Excellent Open Pittable Options and scoping study due very soon!



    Marilliana @5% and @$10t= $120m,
    Elephant Ground, possibly only 5% of total size, excellent Infrastructure with BHP Rail Running Straight passed deposit! 50m of top soil


    Total = Approx $275m or $3.45c a share

    I think my NPV's have been pretty conservative but am happy to discount the value I got to by another say 80% ie $3.45c x 0.2 = 70c YML


    Undervalued or what? Thoughts?
 
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