YML unknown

And a brilliant post with thanks to 'Young Trader' on ASF.I...

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    And a brilliant post with thanks to 'Young Trader' on ASF.

    I think an updated fundamental sheet is due

    YML
    Yilgarn Mining

    Shares: 60m + 20m 25c 30/6/07 opies

    @20c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $10m
    @30c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $24m
    @40c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $32m
    @50c Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $40m
    @$1 Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $80m
    @$1.25 Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $100m
    @$1.50 Fully Dilluted Mkt Cap = $120m

    Has $4.5m in the Bank so no need for funds anytime soon


    Projects

    1. Rose Dam
    Used this Gold project to generate $6.6m in cash, good cash cow and shows management knows how to get a project going


    2. Irwin Hills
    JV 40% YML 60% MRE, JORC 20Mt@ 1%Ni (Nickel) + 0.12%Co (Colbat)

    High levels of Chloride so having trouble getting MRE to agrre to Toll Treatment at its Murrin-Murrin Plant, although its Laterite Nickel its not that bad as MRE is the Laterite King!

    If they can get this Toll Treatement going it will be a real big cash cow!


    3. Carr-Boyd
    YML earning 51% from TIR (Now part of CSM Cons-Min) can earn up to 90%

    JORC 600Kt's@ 1.4%Ni + 0.5%Cu all within 100m of the surface so open pittable!

    Using an EV of $5 lb Nickel and $2 lb Cu this first pass JORC gives the deposit an In Ground Value of over $150m


    4. MarillanaThis project is the SPEC KILLER!

    Its an Iron Ore tennement 2kms west of the Brockman Deposit (225Mt@ 60% Fe)

    Its old Hamersley Ground who outline a STRIKE OF 10KM's! Grading an avg 60% Fe! Width is probably 500m - 750m and thickness of the Iron Ore is 60m

    Our Estimates so far are 1.4Billion Tonnes of Ore Grading 60% Fe
    If we attribute 1% we get 14Mt@60% Fe
    Use an In-Ground Value of $5t = $70m NPV
    $10t= $140m NPV
    $15t= $210m NPV

    But Hamersley walked away from it 20years ago becasue the deposit is not at surface, its covered by 50m of top soil which is bad, but given current Iron Ore prices (ADD ANOTHER 10%) and the Sheer location of the deposit!Have a look at the presentations its surrounded by BHP, RIO, FMG and Hanc ock Mining!

    Whats also very important is that BHP's Railway runs throught the deposit, so YML could feasibly only have to dig it up and truck it 2-3kms to the BHP Rail Line which runs straight to the Ports and given FMG's recent win in the Courts to use BHP's line I can't see why YML can't as well

    East Sunrise (100% interest), 35 kms south of Laverton
    Historical exploration has returned promising drill intersections including 14m at 10.2 gpt gold. Further drilling is planned for early 2007. Just food for thought.


    Attributable Value

    Irwin Hills @$2.50lb Ni =$50m, YML 40%= $20m
    Remember Laterite (low grade) No Cap-Ex as can be treated at JV partner MRE's Murrin Murrin Plant,


    Carr Boyd @ $5lb Ni + $2lb Cu = $150m, YML's up to 90%= $135m
    JV with Cos Min, Excellent Open Pittable Options!



    Marilliana @1% and @$10t= $140m,
    Elephant Ground, possibly only 1% of total size, excellent Infrastructure with BHP Rail Running Straight passed deposit! 50m of top soil


    Total = Approx $300m or $3.75c a share

    I think my NPV's have been pretty conservative but am happy to discount the value I got to by another say 80% ie $3.75c x 0.2 = 75c YML


    Undervalued or what? Thoughts?
 
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