Lets assume a little downside to the whole market it is starting look like it may happen. Lets assume Lynas profits goes up 6 x to $0.04. At same time there is a market correction lowering ASX average Pe to 20, Still 33% above long term average. That Lynas because of sector and still being the major source of oxides outside of China has a PE of 50. What would Lynas SP be? 50 X $0.04 = $2.00. I do not think Lynas would go this low there is a ground effect, it does give a better idea of what might happen. Because of decreases demand during a major correction commodity prices like REE usually decline.
Note if Lynas because of decreased earnings tied to of the depreciations of $1.6B in CAPX Will lose some of the ground effect. Note I am assuming profits increase to $0.04 not going into the red. $6M in profit 1st half of 2025 is very close to negative especially compared to 2nd half 2022 $294M, just 30 months between reports. Also remember in spite of revenue going from $237M 2nd half of 2024 to 242 M 1st half of 2025 UP 2 %, profits went from $33M to $6M down 82% What does Revenue going up a tinny and profits going down that much mean to all of you. Since the only amajor one time item was positive I think there are problems ahead. Why should I not think this?
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lynas rare earths limited
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$9.43

Lets assume a little downside to the whole market it is starting...
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Last
$9.43 |
Change
-0.120(1.26%) |
Mkt cap ! $8.844B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$9.55 | $9.56 | $9.34 | $17.96M | 1.891M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 104 | $9.43 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$9.44 | 8672 | 12 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 5900 | 9.450 |
12 | 8409 | 9.440 |
14 | 11741 | 9.430 |
12 | 8366 | 9.420 |
14 | 15455 | 9.410 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
9.460 | 6479 | 12 |
9.470 | 6455 | 12 |
9.480 | 17945 | 11 |
9.490 | 9294 | 10 |
9.500 | 14947 | 12 |
Last trade - 12.14pm 19/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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