and so far the tin stocks are falling Indonesia is due to...

and so far the tin stocks are falling

Indonesia is due to instigate it's 'clean and clear regulations' from November 1 and every other clampdown on illegal tin has resulted in a flood of exports just before rules come into force. This has ultimately been a reason why the Indonesian rule tightening scenario has not had much effect on short term prices.

But so far the LME stocks have trickled down ( sub 4500) and I haven't seen an influx from Indonesia yet.

If the market is disappointed on that or if the clean and clear clearances haven't all been granted as yet ( which is likely) then stocks may drop suddenly

eventually a trigger will force prices up based on simple supply and demand - if this is it then the timing couldn't be better with settlement and DFS round the corner