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28/12/14
02:36
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Originally posted by speculator101
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From my brief investigation of AQG, the main issue is that they are going to go ahead with the very large capex for extending the life of the mine. $800+ million is not small change. Especially, when they are already sitting on $320 million in cash. The new project has an IRR of 20%, which is passable, but when there are so many quality projects the world over dying from a lack of funding, I wonder if the 'market' is unhappy with their current plans.
If AQG had a longer life of the current project, I would agree they are extremely undervalued... but unless they change their long term plan. It will not provide any sort of dividend until perhaps 2020. Which I must say is ages away.
If you want gold exposure in a ASX listed stock, for downside protection perhaps AQG is a decent fit, hence my hold sentiment. But would I buy it, no, lots of other stocks with small E/Vs and longer mine lives.
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Originally posted by speculator101
↑
From my brief investigation of AQG, the main issue is that they are going to go ahead with the very large capex for extending the life of the mine. $800+ million is not small change. Especially, when they are already sitting on $320 million in cash. The new project has an IRR of 20%, which is passable, but when there are so many quality projects the world over dying from a lack of funding, I wonder if the 'market' is unhappy with their current plans.
If AQG had a longer life of the current project, I would agree they are extremely undervalued... but unless they change their long term plan. It will not provide any sort of dividend until perhaps 2020. Which I must say is ages away.
If you want gold exposure in a ASX listed stock, for downside protection perhaps AQG is a decent fit, hence my hold sentiment. But would I buy it, no, lots of other stocks with small E/Vs and longer mine lives.
Expand
Thanks for the analysis and summary.
I managed to buy at $2.20 on Christmas Eve and I'm hoping for a quick rebound.