Yeah your right. But shares trade as much on sentiment as anything else, and the gold price sentiment is heading down.
But I actually think that it is perhaps not a bad time to invest in something like GOLD or ZAUWBA on the ASX, or bullion or Perthmint certificates. On the one hand they provide a hedge against a rising USD vs AUD; and on the other hand, if POG rises again (against all currencies), then it provides a win there too.
But sentiment is against gold shares for the present and not likely to rise for a while.
I don't really put much faith in charts (they only look to the past) but its worth noting NCM's, lower highs, lower lows.
NCM Price at posting:
0.0¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held