You said:"30% prob offer increased 5c. 10% prob offer increased...

You said:
"30% prob offer increased 5c.
10% prob offer increased 10c.
10% prob new party or TS raised to 50c+ (lets roll with 55c).
Remaining 50% = 40c."

"As you said, 0% prob offer withdrawn. "

Well at least I know what today's buyers are thinking:
x Assigning a 50% to an increased offer
x Assigning a 0% chance of the offer falling through

There is very little chance TS is going to increase the offer. You can see this from his behavior with COV. Which is a mirror of this transaction.

The has been no formal documentation released and no approvals provided. That just does not equal 100% chance of completion!

I'll forgoe shouting or ad hominem attacks, my arguments are strong enough as they stand.

(I didn't say "0% prob offer withdrawn", I said very likely which is not equal to 100% chance!)