*1 tonnes = 2?204.62262 pounds*Kates incentive agreement is to...

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    *1 tonnes = 2?204.62262 pounds
    *Kates incentive agreement is to produce 30,000 tonnes each month for 3 months. This is roughly 66,138,678.60
    pounds (30,000 * 2204.62262) which is at a price of US 58 cents per pound equivelent to US$38,360,433 per month. 51% is attibutable to URA = US$19,563,821 per month or roughly US$235 million a year. Assuming that we can turn 15% of this into profit means that we would recieve $32.25 million is profit per year. THIS IS REFLECTING ONLY 15% OF TOTAL REVENUE AS PROFIT!!

    Now lets look at the financing affect:
    Current Market Capitalisation = 7 million

    Total Potential Shares on Issue:
    Current ordinary shares on issue
    = 285,125,188
    Issue to AAM for a 51% interest in 7 manganese projects
    = 80,000,000
    1 for 2 rights issue at 2.8 cents
    = 142,562,594
    1 million loan potential shares issued to underwriter covertable at 2.8 cents per share if there is no shortfall available from rights issue
    = 35,714,286
    Total shares on issue post rights issue and payment for 51% in managanese assets = 543,402,068

    Total Options on Issue:
    Current Tradable Options on Issue (exercisable at 8 cents)
    = 89,750,709
    Free options attached to rights issue for shareholders (exercisable at 5 cents)
    = 142,562,594
    Free options for underwriter for 1 million dollar drawndown loan (exercisable at 5 cents and 1.5 times shares issued to underwriter)
    = 53,571,429
    Non-exchange tradable options
    = 5,000,000
    Total Options on issue post rights issue and payment for 51% in manganese assets = 290,884,732

    Total Undiluted shares on issue Post Rights issue
    = 543,402,068
    Total Diluted Shares on issue post rights issue
    = 834,286,799

    Assuming a shareprice @3 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $16,302,062.03
    Diluted Market Cap = $25,028,603.98

    Assuming a shareprice @4 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $21,736,082.71
    Diluted Market Cap = $33,371,471.97

    Assuming a shareprice @5 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $27,170,103.39
    Diluted Market Cap = $41,714,339.96

    Assuming a shareprice @6 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $32,604,124.06
    Diluted Market Cap = $50,057,207.96

    Assuming a shareprice @7 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $38,038,144.74
    Diluted Market Cap = $58,400,075.95

    Assuming a shareprice @8 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $43,472,165.42
    Diluted Market Cap = $66,742,943.94

    Assuming a shareprice @9 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $48,906,186.09
    Diluted Market Cap = $75,085,811.94

    Assuming a shareprice @10 cents
    Undiluted Market Cap = $54,340,206.77
    Diluted Market Cap = $83,428,679.93

    Now keep in mind that we could potentially be earning a profit of $32.25 million based on my profit margin forecast.

    Lets now look at the Cash Balance:
    Cash at the end of last quarter
    = 618,000
    Loan drawn down from underwriter (payable either from short fall however, calculations above assume that there is no short fall available)
    = $1,000,000
    Rights issue intending to raise
    = $4.56 million
    Total Cash Available
    = 6.178 million less 25% for error + administration costs = $4.63 million after the rights issue

    Potential cashflow from exercised options
    = 89,750,709 * 0.08 = $7,180,056.72
    = 142,562,594 * 0.05 = $7,128,129.70
    = 53,571,429 * 0.05 = $2,678,571.43
    = Total $16,986,757.85

    I feel that my figures are pretty conservative, post your opinions.
 
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