reversal bar, page-10

Thanks AA,

The overlap between today's and yesterday's candle stick does not tell me the reversal. If the lower shadow were a bit longer and there were no overlap, it would more likely be the sign of the reversal provided that the whole part of tomorrow's candlestick is higher than today's.

Personally, I realized that it is very dangerous to try to find a bottom in a downtrend situation.

Anyway, AWB looks very cheap considering last year price.
But things have been changed a lot compared with last year, fundamentally.
Have you read the news linked as below?
http://www.weeklytimesnow.com.au/article/2009/02/12/52365_grain-and-hay.html

I am not an expert on Aussie agriculture or agribusiness.
I do not know when crop season is and whereabout the wheat grows, either.

Recently, floods hit NSW and QLD.
I do not know if the floods were serious for wheat crops.

If anyone knows, comments will be appreciated.

I hope I am wrong and you are right, AA.

Regards,