RNS 0.00% 6.7¢ renaissance minerals limited

RNS/EMR Arbitrage.

  1. 2 Posts.
    Figures from the RNS presentation suggests an arbitrage opportunity.

    1. After EMR has funded the Okvau definitive feasibility study(DFS) and the exploration programme (total cost of approx. A$14m), both EMR and RNS will have approx. $4m each in free cash.
    2. EMR has a market cap. of $58.8m (at current price of 4.5c) and RNS has a market cap. of $29.3m (at current price of 5.1c).
    3. Based on points 1 & 2, EMR has an enterprise value of $54.8m and RNS has an enterprise value of $25.3m
    4. At the completion of the DFS, EMR’s share of the Okvau resource will be 561k ozs of gold(51%) and RNS’s share will be 539k ozs(49%).
    5. Based on points 3 & 4, EMR is valued at A$98/resource oz and RNS a$47/resource oz.
    6. Based on point 5 and with EMR at 4.5c/share, RNS should be trading at 10.6c/share.
    7. A high quality exploration programme has just started which has the capacity of adding substantially to the resource base. Initial results should be available in approx. 6 weeks.
    8. The existing resource base is very good quality and deserves a higher valuation/oz than is currently the case.
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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