This release shows that management have addressed shareholders (me) concerns about the information accompanying the rent resume announcement. Having said that I am not sure that this information paints a compelling picture.
1) ARPU: The 230% increase in 12 months is excellent but has flat lined in over the last 3 months. Currently generating ~ $1m p.a from product sales. Not bad but not enough. Assuming this grows at at RR rate 45k Qtr and ARPU $ grows at 10% QoQ this product revenue will grow to ~ $5m over the next 10 years. Not enough to make a really generate significant EBITDA and FCF.
So what else to have coming down line is a really important question that management needs to answer quickly.
2) Cash will run out in Q3 or Q4. Again assuming overall 10% growth rates for all income and no change to current expenses company will need > $8.5m of capital to get it through to a cash flow positive position. If Raised at $0.05 per share this will dilute existing shares by ~ 46% or put another you will have to cough up an additional 46% on top of your current holdings just for your equity position to stand still.
3) Running all this though my valuation models spits out $0.02 per share after raise. I must stress this is not a some mindless prediction. It just a model and in my experience all models are wrong. It does however point to some downside risk building up in this stock.
Positives: Management
Negatives: Revenue Growth
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rent.com.au limited
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Last
2.8¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $23.88M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | 0 |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 37000 | 2.8¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.0¢ | 311980 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 37000 | 0.028 |
2 | 324480 | 0.027 |
3 | 300000 | 0.026 |
4 | 1140000 | 0.025 |
2 | 71000 | 0.024 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.030 | 311980 | 2 |
0.032 | 121537 | 2 |
0.033 | 89000 | 2 |
0.034 | 270782 | 5 |
0.050 | 44714 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.21pm 16/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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WEST COAST SILVER LIMITED
Bruce Garlick, Executive Chairman
Bruce Garlick
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