INPUTS PRODUCTION SPAN – AFTER BONANZA YEAR 3.5 TO YEAR 10 PROCESS CAPACITY – 3MT/PA OUTPUT @ 1.7% - 51,000T CU CAPEX - $250,000,000 CAPEX LOAN RATE 6% - 10 YEAR TERM OPEX - $940/T CU PRICE - $7,500/T ROYALTY – 4% TRANSPORT TOWNSVILLE - $50/T SHIPPING TO CHINA - $15/T SHARES ISSUED 190,000,000
CASH COSTS P/A OPEX 51,000T X $940 = $47,940,000 ROYALTY - 4% X 51,000T X $7,500 = $15,300,000 TRANSPORT – 51,000 X $50 = $2,550,000 SHIPPING – 51,000 X $15 = $765,000 DEBT REPAY $33,600,000 TOTAL EXPENSES P/A = $100,155,000
SHARE HOLDER VALUE GROSS REVENUE – 51,000T X $7,500 = $382,500,000 TOTAL EXPENSES - $100,155,000 TAXABLE INCOME - $282,345,000 INCOME AFTER 30% TAX - $197,640,000 NETT EARNINGS PER SHARE - $1.04
TOTAL SHARE HOLDER VALUE OVER 10 YEAR MINE LIFE JORC EARNINGS PER SHARE X 6.5 YEARS - $1.04 X 6.5 = $6.76 BONANZA ZONE EARNINGS PER SHARE – 3.5 YEARS X $2.73 = $9.56 TOTAL EARNINGS PER SHARE END YEAR 10 = $16.31 AVERAGE NETT EARNINGS PER SHARE = $1.63
10MTPA EXPANSION PLAN CAPEX INCREASE REQUIRED WILL INCREASE OUTPUT TO 170,000T/PA WILL INCREASE EARNINGS PER SHARE
PLUS UPSIDE FROM CONTINUED RESOURCE DEFINITION INCREASE
CDU Price at posting:
$4.51 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held