MDT 0.00% 5.2¢ macquarie ddr trust

rough comparison of mdt to cer, aez, mcw

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    Rough comparison of MDT to CER, AEZ, MCW

    Please DYOR, this may contain errors, but I have attempted to glean the info from the latest releases.
    If errors are spotted, please correct.
    I have attempted to order each section from best to worse F.W.I.W.
    Comments welcome, especially on pertinant methods for comparison.

    Leasing:
    MCW 96.3%
    CER US: 92.6% Aus: 99.7%.
    AEZ 91.9%
    MDT 91.2%

    WALE:
    MCW 9 years.
    MDT 5.5 years.
    CER US: 5.5 years. Aus 5 years.
    AEZ unknown

    Reported Gearing/LVR:
    MCW 58.8%, expect 56.2% after US sale completes, covenant 65-70%.
    MDT Head 60%, covenant 64.7%. LLC 57.8%, covenant 60%.
    CER LT 68.7% expects breach.
    AEZ RBS 83.2%, covenant 68% (breach).

    Full on-balance sheet ex-intagibles 'gearing' (unconventional)
    MCW 37%
    CER 63%
    MDT 65%
    AEZ 79%

    ICR:
    MDT Head 2.4x, covenant 2x. LLC 1.83x, covenant 1.75x
    MCW 2.3x, covenant 1.75x
    AEZ 2.3x, covenant 1.8x
    CER LT 1.5x

    Divs:
    MCW guidance 8c
    AEZ hope for 1.5c mid 2009?
    MDT 0c
    CER 0c

    Market cap followed by recent Underlying earnings in order of UE to market cap ratio. (verify)
    CER $64m, $178m
    MDT $36m, $82m
    AEZ $27m, $15m
    MCW $366m, $180m

    Ratio of net of balance sheet to market cap (higher vales are deeper discounted balance sheets, due greater risk?):
    MDT 2671%
    CER 2557%
    AEZ 993%
    MCW 559%

    NTA - Share price - ratio.
    CER 72c - 2.8c - 25.7x
    MDT 93c - 3.9c - 23.86x
    AEZ 47c - 5c - 9.4x
    MCW 146c - 25c - 5.84x


    Balance sheet Current Asset/Liability deficiency as per last report. In all cases due to upcoming refi.
    (some subsequently refinanced so take it all with a pinch of salt).
    Rough estimates!
    MDT ~$51m
    MCW ~$417m
    AEZ ~$556m
    CER ~$1861m

    Other:
    MDT: to separate from DDR
    CER: two class actions underway. expect covenant breach. CNP JV.
    AEZ: RBS exposure, multiple covenant breach.
    MCW: to separate from Regency


    Of the above, I currently have positions in MDT and MCW.
    All are high risk.
 
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