the reason the answer's different is because rsg has 2 mines in reconfiguration with about ~9 months or so before they expect to be operating normally
all planned for and covered by cash on hand - but between now and then its got a fair chance of production disappointments and investrs tend to be allergic to holding such stocks
wheras to a cashed up acquirer that short term negative is nothing - and RSg has both a huge operational + gold resource inventory envelope that would immediately add a lot of value to an operator with a decent size + 300koz (prob +500koz) stable of producing mines to cover any short term operating cost drawdowns
as i said the other day historical avg for successful gold merger offers is 63% last time i saw a number for it
RSG rates about 1/3 to 1/4th the value of other goldies on its post reconfiguration expected production/aisc to EV ratio (though the Ev's somewhat understated (by around $150m) cos it;lll burn through most of its cash before its production hits that mark
but id safely say its valued at 50% of the peer group here - not sure about north american miners - and theyd be the more likely buyers given west african focus
So i reckon somewhere between $1.60-$1.90 would leave big upside for any acquirer that would almost immediately be net accretive to their nta/ev while still offering an attractive t/o premium that allowed holders to avoid the operation risk of next ~9-12months or transfer into shares of the merged vehicle to achieve pretty similar outcome
I;ve long thought EDV which i also hold - which is about the most active acquirer/deal maker with WA focus - should look at RSG
EDV just raised $300USm in a convertible debt note despite being by all accounts pretty cashflow positive
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Last
70.5¢ |
Change
-0.005(0.70%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.500B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
70.0¢ | 71.0¢ | 69.0¢ | $9.005M | 12.87M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 151500 | 70.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
70.5¢ | 99995 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 144000 | 0.700 |
1 | 5500 | 0.695 |
13 | 315905 | 0.690 |
9 | 230611 | 0.685 |
18 | 304195 | 0.680 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.710 | 50000 | 1 |
0.715 | 111762 | 4 |
0.720 | 198762 | 3 |
0.725 | 58223 | 2 |
0.730 | 97294 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 04/10/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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