AVZ 0.00% 78.0¢ avz minerals limited

Running Commentary on the SP Movements., page-3203

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    Without these caps, AVZ could hit 26c or more.

    A takeover premium is usually 50% - 100%.
    Tianqi Lithium offered 76.88% premium while acquiring Talison in 2012.

    If they kept price under 25c.
    Potential takeover price: 24.5c x (1 + 76.88%) = 43c

    If let price run, saying 30c.
    Potential takeover price: 30c x (1 + 76.88%) = 53c

    The difference for consideration:
    2.249b (fully diluted) x (53c - 43c) = $224.9m

    Providing 18m shares have been taken, 18m @ average 26c = $4.68m
    These shares sold, would still result in a nice profit.
    But potentially effectively saving $224.9m on takeover.

    Just for exercise.
    Last edited by 8horse: 31/10/17
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