You state: "is non geological risk higher this week than last...

You state: "is non geological risk higher this week than last week? Is it higher this month than last month? If the answer is yes to both, which I believe it is in light of the NE Congo conflict but also broader macro political tensions, then some discounting from what the SP was last week and indeed last month (pre rally) is going to be necessary in my opinion"

You believe the risk is higher this month than last month, yet you bought and told everyone that it was going to 12.5c in the last week.

That'll do me !!!!